Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.034460 0.040444 0.046649 0.053527 0.060901 0.068538 0.077015
2025-11-02 0.025354 0.033955 0.043435 0.054482 0.066845 0.080119 0.095322
2025-11-09 0.019010 0.028946 0.040529 0.054603 0.070884 0.088828 0.109829
2025-11-16 0.013485 0.023771 0.036503 0.052623 0.071845 0.093520 0.119350
2025-11-23 0.009436 0.019629 0.033076 0.050789 0.072500 0.097470 0.127679
2025-11-30 0.007350 0.017718 0.032140 0.051721 0.076207 0.104758 0.139659
2025-12-07 0.005832 0.016320 0.031660 0.053052 0.080259 0.112345 0.151893
2025-12-14 0.004840 0.015541 0.031893 0.055198 0.085233 0.120966 0.165286
2025-12-21 0.003696 0.014222 0.031194 0.056000 0.088446 0.127416 0.176080
2025-12-28 0.003562 0.014769 0.033223 0.060447 0.096249 0.139395 0.193403
2026-01-04 0.002274 0.012615 0.030990 0.058973 0.096431 0.142075 0.199650
2026-01-11 0.001677 0.011744 0.030631 0.060004 0.099768 0.148556 0.210387
2026-01-18 0.001041 0.010500 0.029637 0.060208 0.102174 0.154096 0.220273
2026-01-25 0.000652 0.009705 0.029314 0.061348 0.105818 0.161203 0.232105
2026-02-01 0.000304 0.008626 0.028368 0.061501 0.108107 0.166595 0.241849
2026-02-08 0.000036 0.006916 0.026011 0.059396 0.107257 0.167966 0.246628
2026-02-15 NaN 0.005463 0.023864 0.057442 0.106497 0.169368 0.251377
2026-02-22 NaN 0.004991 0.023642 0.058436 0.109744 0.175834 0.262317
2026-03-01 NaN 0.004672 0.023702 0.059855 0.113565 0.183025 0.274147
2026-03-08 NaN 0.004598 0.024304 0.062139 0.118590 0.191760 0.287886
2026-03-15 NaN 0.004180 0.024041 0.062992 0.121599 0.197898 0.298411
2026-03-22 NaN 0.004719 0.026127 0.067717 0.130061 0.211070 0.317657
2026-03-29 NaN 0.003762 0.024427 0.066152 0.129637 0.212768 0.322674